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Policy Science - Lloyd Etheredge
Etheredge,Lloyd Etheredge,strategic thinking, policy science, Internet, international scientific networks,government learning,American foreign policy,political psychology,Lasswell, Ithiel, de sola pool,Yale,international relations,innovation,learning,wisdom
Lloyd Etheredge: strategic thinking, policy science, Lasswell bibliography, international scientific networks, goverment learning, political psychology,
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Внешние ссылки главной страницы ( 5 ) | |
policyscience.ws/index.html | academic homepage |
unicttaskforce.org | unicttaskforce.org |
info.med.yale.edu/EIINet | EIINet |
gwu.edu/~hirp/pubs.html | Lynn Etheredge |
adobe.com/products/acrobat/readstep.html | Acrobat Reader |
Внутренние ссылки главной страницы ( 557 ) | |
references.html | References |
2016.0304.cv.pdf | cv |
2014.1020.animalspirits.pdf | "'Animal Spirits" and Fast Economic Recovery: Reading the Lessons Correctly" |
2015.1120.optimism.rapidlearningeconomics.pdf | 2.) The Optimistic Case for Rapid Learning Economics |
2016.0322.preventingthenextrecession.pdf | 3.) Preventing the Next Recession: Early Warning, Prevention, and Big Data |
2016.0419.financingprecisionmedicine.pdf | 4.) Financing(and Organizing) the Transition to Precision Medicine |
2016.0420.neighborhoodparks.pdf | 5.) Empowering Monetary Policy: Special Lending for a Future of Neighborhood Parks, Playgrounds, and Community Gardens Across A... |
2016.0421.medicaldebt.pdf | 7.) Marketing Monetary Policy Solutions: Restructuring the Medical Debt of Americans |
2016.0423.endowmentlending.pdf | 8.) Monetary Policy and Federal Endowment Loans:A New Future for Higher Education and the Performing Arts Across America |
2016.0424.christensen.pdf | 9.) Solving the Wrong Problem? A Christensen-Level Repair Package |
2016.0425.segmentingandrestructuringgovernmentdebt.pdf | 10.) Segmenting and Restructuring Government Debt |
2016.0427.educationalstimulus | 11.) An Educational Theory of Economic Stimulus: A Fast Investment in Schumpeter |
2016.0501.newtheory.rapidlearningeducation.pdf | : The Example of a Rapid Learning Education System |
2016.0510.productivityvariations.pdf | 13.) An Option for Fast and Effective Monetary Policy:Using Variations in Public and Private Productivity to Stimulate Borrowi... |
2016.0326.equaljustice.pdf | Prospectus: Equal Justice Under Law - A Rapid Learning System |
2016.0208.MarylandLearnStorm.JackSmith.pdf | The LearnStorm Challenge 2016 |
2016.0202.learnstorm2016.memoandpressrelease.pdf | further analysis and copies of press releases |
2016.0218.JackSmith.pdf | the universal, free AP and first year of college via edX.org and the Modern States Education Alliance |
2016.0209.nsf.selfcorrectionplan.pdf | Comment: NSF's (Untrustworthy) Self-Correction Plan |
2016.0112.ScienceandJournalisticEthics.pdf | ; Recruiting an Outstanding Editor-in-Chief |
2016.0121.spj-code-of-ethics-poster.pdf | Society for Professional Journalism Code of Ethics |
2016.0106.TwoStrategiesAgainstIsis.pdf | Two Strategies Against ISIS |
2014.0323.Greenspan.revisedforcirculation.pdf | A Rapid Learning System for G-20 Macroeconomics: From Greenspan to Shiller and Big Data |
2014.0311.Attachments.Greenspan.revisedforcirculation.pdf | Attachments |
2014.0528.clinton+cairncross.reviseddraft.pdf | proposal: 1.) Letter for former President Clinton and the Clinton Foundation, revised draft, May 27, 2014. |
2014.0418.levin+jhu.pdf | proposal: 2.) Letter to Richard Levin at Coursera concerning the WAAS strategy meeting at Berkeley and Fast Track implementati... |
2014.0421.pcast+unemployment.pdf | proposal: 3.) Examples of statistics and articles concerning adverse and dangerous political trends in Europe related to high, p... |
TableofContents1.pdf | Front Matter |
UN1.CulturalAffairs.N06.pdf | 1.) A Cultural Affairs Channel |
UN2.ProfDiplomacy.D06.pdf | 2.) Strengthening Professional Training for Diplomacy and International Relations |
UN3.VisualDisplay.D06.pdf | 3.) Visual Display Systems for Millennium Goals & Large-Scale Collaboration |
UN4.MiddleEastLanguage.D06.pdf | 4.) More Deeply-Connected Language for Middle East Peace |
UN5.InventionsWanted.D06.pdf | 5.) How the UN Can Accelerate Scientific Innovation and Solve Urgent Global Problems |
UN6.GDPGrowth.D06.pdf | 6.) How the UN Can Increase Economic Growth in UDCs |
UN7.GlobalAffairsChannel.D06.pdf | 7.) How the UN Can Foster Policy Analysis, Learning, and International Cooperation to Achieve Its Goals |
UN8.PurchasingCooperative.D06.pdf | 8.) How the Secretary General Can Save Money and Increase the Efficiency of the UN's Allied Organizations |
UN9.InternationalHealth.D06.pdf | 9.) How the UN Can Foster a Rapid-Learning International Health System |
iomexecsum.407.pdf | Executive Summary - Institute of Medicine Report |
healthaffairs.2007.final.pdf | special supplement on rapid-learning health systems |
UN10.GlobalVirtualLibrary.D06.pdf | 10.) How the Secretary General Can Foster a Global Virtual Public Library with Free Access for UDCs |
UN11.Math_ScienceEducation.D06.pdf | 11.) How the UN Can Bring the Best Resources for Science and Math Education, K-12, to All Students, Worldwide |
UN12.HealthInformation.D06.pdf | 12.) How the UN Can Be a Daily Partner with Health Professionals & Assure the Best and Latest Health Information to Everyone, W... |
librarystrategy.14rev.605.pdf | User Interfaces for the Global Virtual Library: Creative Options for Information Freedom and Economics |
islamicstartup.draft.pdf | Budget and Budget Narrative: US-Islamic World Service |
planetbroadband.pdf | . |
policyscience.net/download/index.html | Full text of earlier (2002) book draft |
healthchannel.01.302.pdf | "Consumer-Oriented Broadcasting and Video Archives for Health" |
jhg.pdf | Jackson Hole Group |
hiprescription.html | Health Information Prescriptions |
montreal.pdf | "How International Broadcasting + the Internet Can Change the World" |
newsources.pdf | "New Sources of Programming: Examples from North America |
five.pdf | "Five Internet Projects That Can Change the World" |
columbia.pdf | "A Strategy for Human Rights: Five Internet Projects That Can Change the World" |
gkm.pdf | "Global Knowledge Management for Policy |
nyc.pdf | "Overview: A Purchasing Cooperative for Health, Science, and Education for UDCs |
stakeholder.pdf | "Stakeholder Financing for International Scientific Channels |
lederberg.pdf | "Report of the Lederberg Working Group" |
income.pdf | "Income-Producing Options - International Scientific Channels" |
2013.1219.pcast_mooc.pdf | Memorandum on MOOCs from President Obama's Council of Advisers on Science and Technology |
2013.1002.waas.berkeleyoverview.pdf | Overview of the World Academy of Art & Science Berkeley Conference |
2013.1102.waas.berkeleyhandout.pdf | Grand Strategy: Adding Content, Societal Benefits, Enrollment, Alliances, and Resources" |
08152011.stanfordcourse.pdf | , to be taught in the Fall of 2011 by Sebastian Thrun and Peter Norvig to 58,000+ students worldwide! |
sghp1.tv.pdf | 1. Would a Free Global Television Channel Help?" |
healthchannel.Kaiserconference.pdf | "Consumer-Oriented Broadcasting and Video Archives for Health." |
sghp2.info.pdf | 2. Would a Strong Internet/Health Information Component Be Useful? |
hiprescription.pdf | NIH/Medlineplus Health Information Prescription |
sghp3.workcolloqclick.pdf | 3. Professional Work Stations, Global Colloquia Series, and "Click to Make a Difference" Visual Display Systems. |
clickmalaria.pdf | World Malaria Map. |
sghp4.rapid.pdf | 4. A Rapid Learning International Health System. |
ehr.zita.china.pdf | Chinese EHR (Electronic Health Records) investment plan. |
ica.globalhealth.2008.pdf | . |
jones.china.08152009.pdf | a new US-China EHR health initiative for the Obama Administration. |
nih.rapidlearning.07212009.pdf | new NIH rapid learning international health system project |
sghp5.econhardship.pdf | 5. Foresight About Global Economic Hardship and UDC Political Instability/Violence |
newsweek.ciaviolence.pdf | Admiral Blair's (DNI) forecast of growing political instability |
usipproposal.2009.pdf | rapid learning plan to restart content analysis |
jones.02172009.pdf | US health projects for the most vulnerable |
sghp6.ccc.pdf | 6. Would a CCC Component be Useful? |
duets.pdf | Memorandum re the new UK Database of Uncertainties About the Effects of Treatments (DUETS) system. |
princeton.307.pdf | Information from Princeton's University Channel/global C-SPAN startup |
mit.allcourses.307.pdf | A followup announcement from MIT |
iomglobal.806.pdf | Startup announcement for the first rapid learning (US healthcare) system |
aaas.606.pdf | Startup announcement from AAAS |
startupmemo.pdf | Startup announcement! |
nyasplan.pdf | "Excerpts from the Prospectus for the (Joshua Lederberg) Science Without Borders Program" |
nih.announce.pdf | "Memorandum: Good news: http://videocast.nih.gov" |
submarine.pdf | "Memorandum: Expanding Submarine Cable Capacity by Region" |
mit.pdf | MIT's step forward |
pbsmemo.pdf | "A New Generation of Public Broadcasting" |
kaisernetwork.pdf | Memorandum |
first10,000.pdf | Memorandum |
startup.pdf | "Startup Programming for a Global Affairs Channel" |
testify1.pdf | "Opening Remarks: Testimony to the United States Advisory Commission on Public Diplomacy" |
gacplan.pdf | "Draft Plan: A Global Affairs Channel |
proposal.pdf | "Proposal to the ISA Executive Committee" |
unesco1.pdf | "Internet Colloquium: Technology in Language Instruction" |
science.pdf | Science |
2014.1106.aaas.pdf | Letter to the AAAS Executive Board concerning NSF's ending of the guarantee of the "gold standard" of Scientific Merit, peer... |
2013.0520.whchiefofstaff.pdf | Letter to Denis McDonough, White House Chief of Staff |
2013.0520.yale.attachmenta.pdf | Background material for the Yale Corporation |
2013.0520.lauer.attachmentb.pdf | Overview for NIH of the transformative, rapid learning, potential of neuroscience and investigations of the Primate Subordinatio... |
2013.0520.aea.attachmentc.pdf | Recommendation for an emergency appropriation and a rapid learning system for macro-economics |
2013.nsfbudgetrequest2014.pdf | NSF's Budget Request for the Social, Behavioral, and Economic Sciences (2014) |
2012.0227.bromhead.pdf | , Right-Wing Political Extremism in the Great Depression |
2013.0520.attachmentc.pdf | Letter to Dr. Claudia Goslin, AEA President, recommending an emergency appropriation and an NIH-model rapid learning system ... |
2013.0131.lauer.nih.pssyndrome.pdf | theory and its public health implications.January 31, 2013 Background Documents for an Accountability Meeting of the AAAS Co... |
2012.1120.aaas.accountabilitymeeting.1.pdf | Initial overview letter of November 20, 2012. |
2012.1203.aaas.accountabilitymeeting.2.vbush.pdf | Follow up letter of December 3, 2012 |
2013.0104.aaas.accountabilitymeeting.3.suresh.pdf | . A letter of January 4, 2013 summarizing a growing dishonesty, politicization, mismanagement and a gap between the Vannevar... |
2012.1102.medicaidlse.circulated.pdf | Six Steps to a Rapid Learning System for Medicaid |
2012.1025.upgradingnsfgovernance.pdf | Letter to Dr. William Press and the AAAS Board forwarding evidence from NIH |
2012.0509.aaaslegalresponse.pdf | Letter to Dr. William Press - President of the AAAS outlining the case for a public legal response to breakdowns in the NSF rev... |
2012.0227.aau.pdf | paradigm |
pcast1.recapitalizingsocialscience.pdf | 1. Recapitalizing Social Science and Rapid Learning Systems. |
fischhoff133.goodnews.pdf | Recapitalization and President Obama's new strategic framework. |
pcast2.neuropsychology.pdf | Neuropsychology and Rapid Learning Systems about Social Problems" |
sapolsky.pdf | Robert M. Sapolsky, "The Influence of Social Hierarchy on Primate Health |
gatheringstorm1.08122008.pdf | Case. |
gatheringstorm2.ethicsappendix.08222008.pdf | Ethics Appendix: Analysis of Ethical Issues and Supporting Documentation. |
aaas.ethics.pantheons.808.pdf | Pantheons and Guarantors Appendix. |
aaas.07.408.pdf | AAAS: Communication to Dr. James McCarthy, President of AAAS, and the AAAS Governing Council |
doj.26.308.pdf | Dept. of Justice: Letter to Attorney General Michael Mukasey |
nas.policies1.pdf | Policies on Committee Composition and Balance and Conflicts of Interest" |
nas.policies2.pdf | Our Study Process |
aaas.17.308.pdf | AAAS: Letter to Dr. James McCarthy, President of AAAS |
doj.12.308.pdf | Dept. of Justice: Letter to Attorney General Michael Mukasey concerning prosecutorial discretion |
aaas.09.308.pdf | AAAS: Letter to Dr. James McCarthy, President of AAAS |
aaas.alberts.108.pdf | AAAS: Letter to Dr. Holdren. Chair of the AAAS Governing Council |
dojmain.907.pdf | Abstract, Table of Contents, Main Text. |
doj.tab1.907.pdf | Attachments - Tab 1 |
doj.tab2.907.pdf | Attachments - Tab 2 |
doj.tab3.907.pdf | Attachments - Tab 3 |
doj.tab4.907.pdf | Attachments - Tab 4 |
doj.tab5.907.pdf | Attachments - Tab 5 |
nsf.307.cover.pdf | Cover letter to the National Science Board. |
nsf.307.contents.pdf | Table of Contents |
nsf.307.1.pdf | 1.) Overview: Meeting Three National Challenges |
nsf.307.2.pdf | 2.) Weakening Economic Models and Data Systems |
nsf.307.3.pdf | 3.) Politics in a Changing World |
nsf.307.4.pdf | 4.) The Impasse of Ideological Ideas |
nsf.307.5.pdf | 5.) Science-Citizen Partnerships |
nsf.307.6.pdf | 6.) Computer-Assisted Methods to Analyze Communications |
nsf.307.7.pdf | 7.) Routine Cross-Cultural Research |
nsf.307.8.pdf | 8.) Brain-Mind Connections: Fresh Ideas for Social and Economic Problems |
econmailing.n05.pdf | "A Project to Rethink and Upgrade Economic Statistics" |
wisdom.published.pdf | "Wisdom and Public Policy" |
fedoroff03.305.pdf | Transformative research and improving NSF processes. |
apsa.ninestrategies.504.pdf | "Increasing Resources for Political Science: Nine Strategies for APSA" |
nsf.creativity.pdf | "How to Nurture Creativity and Progress in the Social Sciences: Comment on the National Science Board's Draft Report" |
nsb.misperception.pdf | Supplemental filing |
millenniumq.pdf | "Science and Public Policy: Millennium Questions" |
languagesyll.pdf | New Languages Syllabus |
next.pdf | "What's Next? The Intellectual Legacy of Ithiel de Sola Pool" |
wisdom.pdf | "Wisdom and Good Judgment in Politics |
wisdom2.pdf | uncut version |
tagl.pdf | "Thinking About Government Learning |
wildavsky.pdf | Flow diagram for a simulation model of the American political system |
gl_index.html | "Government Learning: An Overview |
tmi.pdf | "Decision Making and Learning in Scientific Emergencies |
vaguely.pdf | "Why Do Politicians Speak Vaguely?" |
case.pdf | "The Case of the Unreturned Cafeteria Trays" |
casefigure1.pdf | Figure 1 |
grandchallenges.pdf | Grand Challenges: Mapping the Brain-Mind Connection of Emotion and Politics |
nsfbrain15.906.pdf | Comments on the NSF Report on Grand Challenges of Mind and Brain |
insel17.703.pdf | July 17, 2003 |
insel21.703.pdf | July 21, 2003 |
nih02.803.pdf | 8/2/2003 |
cain04.803.pdf | 8/4/2003 |
oedipus.pdf | "Measuring Hierarchical Models of Political Behavior: Oedipus and Reagan, Russia and America |
morerational.pdf | "On Being More Rational Than the Rationality Assumption: Dramatic Requirements, Nuclear Deterrence and the Agenda for Learning |
hardball.pdf | "Hardball Politics: A Model" |
hardball_fig2.pdf | Figure 2 |
whf1.2012.0605.contentanalysis.pdf | 1. Bring Content Analysis Online |
whf2.2012.0605.udccoops.pdf | 2. Purchasing Cooperatives for UDC Development |
whf3.2012.0605.energychannel.pdf | 3. An http://www.videocast.nih.gov for Energy Research and Fast Discovery Science |
whf4.2012.0605.visualdisplays.pdf | 4. Visual Displays and Accountable Payments to Accelerate Philanthropy and UDC Development |
whf5.2012.0605.grdr.pdf | 5. Global Blue Button for Rarer Diseases and 350+ Million Beneficiaries: Extending www.grdr.info |
whf6.2012.0605.mygovrapidlearningcenters.pdf | 6. A MyGov Prototype: Citizen Questions for State and Local Government and a National Rapid Learning System |
whf7.2012.0609.china.pdf | 7. China Connections: EPIC-Compatible/OpenVista as a Global Standard |
whf8.2012.0609.ernet.pdf | 8. A national ER (Emergency Room) Net plus Blue Button |
whf9.2012.0609.observatories.pdf | 9. A Social Planetarium/Observatory System: How Federal Data Can Educate and Empower at the State and Local Level. A Washingto... |
whf10.2012.0610.biometrics.pdf | 10. ER-Net/Blue Button and Fast Biometric ID for Vulnerable Populations |
whf11.2012.0611.freesupercomputing.pdf | 11. Big Data: Free Supercomputing Time and Analysis Software for Discovery |
whf12.2012.0611.gsa.pdf | 12. Free Small Business Advertising and a State/Local Extension for GSA Purchasing |
whf13.2012.0611.seniorsafety.pdf | 13. Senior Home Safety Data and Medicare-Paid Home Evaluations |
whf14.2012.0611.vaonline.pdf | 14. Blue Button Plus (a Rapid Learning Genome Option for Citizens): Fast Discovery of Precursor Indicators by Putting VA Data ... |
whf15.2012.0612.fda.pdf | 15. Liberating FDA Data for Rapid Learning and Precision Medicine |
whf16.2012.0612.virtuallibrarysoftware.pdf | 16. A New World of "Must Have" Applications and Library of Congress Partnerships |
whf17.2012.0605.presidentialcommission.pdf | 17. Rethinking Federal Data for Economic Growth: Preparing for a Presidential Commission in January 2013 |
whf18.2012.0605.medicareshow.pdf | 18. The Medicare Show - PBS: Citizen Questions and Feedback |
whf19.2012.0612.medicaidshow.pdf | 19. The Medicaid Show - PBS: Citizen Questions and Feedback |
whf20.2012.0612.ezgps.pdf | 20. EZ-GPS |
whf21.2012.0612.CABigData.pdf | 21. California Public Policy and Federal/Big Data |
whf22.2012.0612.WikiState.pdf | 22. Wiki-State and Knowing the World |
whf23.2012.0612.NationalLibrary.pdf | 23. A National Library for the Environment and Energy Research |
whf24.2012.0614.gpsglobal.pdf | (Global) |
whf25.2012.0623.FDAheavymetals.pdf | 25. Release of FDA's National, Heavy Metals, Market Basket Data |
2011.1122.brisbane.commission.pdf | email to Mr. Arthur Brisbane, Public Editor of The New York Times |
2011.1116.nsfmeritreviewtestimony.pdf | Testimony of NSF Deputy Director Cora Marrett on July 26, 2011 |
2011.1009.ezrakleinlearning.pdf | Ezra Klein's, "Financial Crisis and Stimulus: Could This Time be Different?" |
2011.0810.pcast.economicrecovery.pdf | Letter to PCAST re 4 scientific upgrades to help with economic recovery |
2011.0918.aaas.scienceintegrityboard.pdf | Letters to AAAS and the House Committee on Science, Technology and Space concerning the Science Integrity Board |
2011.0911.nsbpaper1.pdf | "The Bill of Rights for Scientific Freedom - # 1. The Need for a Sciencr Integrity Board |
2011.0904.billofrights.pdf | A Bill of Rights for Scientific Freedom |
2011.0808.prewitt.science.editorial.pdf | "Social Science, Spared Again" |
2011.0816.appelbaumeconomicdata.pdf | , "On Economy, Raw Data Gets a Grain of Salt," August 16, 2011 |
2011.0711.intersocietyletter.pdf | An InterSociety letter to Congress, via AAAS, from 140+ scientific societies and universities supporting NSF and, specifical... |
10282009.hansen.nsfrescue.pdf | Rescuing NSF Political Science: Honest Broker Problems and Scientific Opportunities |
10252009.brady.coburn.pdf | Dr. Henry Brady |
nas505.pdf | email to National Academy of Science members (May 2005) |
nytimes.09.505.pdf | (May 9, 2005) |
nas305.pdf | civic initiative |
reischauer.pdf | Supporting letter from Robert Reischauer, former head of CBO |
Science17.205.pdf | (February, 2005) |
milbank.205.pdf | " |
atkinson.pdf | letter from Dr. Atkinson |
nsfig.804.pdf | three unsuccessful investigations by the National Science Board/National Science Foundation Inspector General's staff |
washington14.804.pdf | Letter to Dr. Warren Washington, National Science Board, August 14, 2004 |
washington22.804.pdf | Letter to Dr. Warren Washington, National Science Board, August 22, 2004 |
weisman.304.pdf | article |
milbank.204.pdf | article |
brintallreport.204.pdf | Report from Michael Brintnall |
recusal.pdf | Petitions to the National Science Board (12/2/2003) and National Academy of Sciences/NRC (12/7/2003) |
justice.pdf | principles of justice |
mccain122003.pdf | uncorrected capture and misuse of the NSF/NAS/NRC system by interest groups within a national science Establishment |
bollinger13.n03.pdf | Dr. Lee Bollinger's commentary on November 13, 2003 |
cea30.O03.pdf | "Bring the President's Nerds Back In From the Cold" |
cowdry.pdf | Overview of intellectual and institutional breakdowns [e.g., NSF, NAS/NRC, CEA, Dept. of Commerce, the economics profession] |
congress803.pdf | Congressional oversight committees |
krugman25.703.pdf | July 25, 2003 |
weisman26.703.pdf | "The Amazing Disappearing Tax Revenue" |
nsb30.703.pdf | column by Robert J. Samuelson in The Washington Post |
nsb03.703.pdf | National Science Board - July 3, 2003 |
jonespacket14.802.pdf | Proposal to Senator Mikulski and the National Science Board |
nsf10.902.pdf | "A Breakdown Crafted by Silences: Scientific Mismanagement and National Policy Error" |
nabe.pdf | Supplemental filing |
cbo06.802.pdf | Letter re economic data reliability & forecasting issues for CBO |
colwell05.602.pdf | NSB oversight review of data, econometric & integrity issues. |
colwell08.502.pdf | Overview for NSF re stall-out of progress in economics |
Alberts.20.302.pdf | Committee on National Statistics |
colwell21.202.pdf | Letter of February 21, 2002 |
nsf.ig.30.102.pdf | Letter of January 30, 2002 |
nsf.ig.05.102.pdf | Letter of January 5, 2002 |
feller.pdf | Overview for Dr. Irwin Feller |
alberts.pdf | Overview for Dr. Bruce Alberts |
kelly.pdf | Preliminary filing |
harding27.601.pdf | "Will the Bush Administration Unravel?" |
scully.pdf | Followup to "Will the Bush Administration Unravel?" |
psletter.pdf | Letter to the Editor |
ebp.pdf | "Evidence-Based Policy Centers: A Proposal to Reinvent Government Through Social Science |
testify95.pdf | "Problems of Scientific Integrity That Affect Unfunded Research |
scandal.pdf | "Commentary: The Scientific Scandal of the 1980s |
3x3.pdf | "Public Drama, Economic Growth, and the Agenda for Learning |
liberal.pdf | "The Liberal Case: Political Activism in a Hierarchical Drama" |
liberalactivist.table1.pdf | summary table |
nrc.pdf | "A Proposal to Study Leadership, Motivation, and Economic Growth" |
reagan.pdf | "President Reagan's Counseling |
2012.0222.hubrismodel_iran.pdf | Model of Foreign Policy Decisions: Iran in March 2012" |
fischhoff1.hubrischeneystewart.pdf | 1. Hubris, the Cheney Syndrome, the Rory Stewart Problem. |
fischhoff2.buenoaudit.pdf | 2. The Scientific Audit of Bueno de Mesquita's Work. |
fischhoff3.israeli.pdf | : The Enemy Image on Steroids. |
fischhoff4.reframingopportunityhealth.pdf | 4. Cognitive Reframing & Political Opportunity Analysis; Global Health as an Opportunity. |
fischhoff5.groupthink.pdf | 5. Groupthink and $75 Billion/Year Bureaucracies. |
fischhoff6.comparativecoldwars.pdf | Misperception Rates of America; Cold War Lessons. |
fischhoff7.missingempathy.pdf | 7. Correcting for Missing Variables: Tom Wolfe & Understanding Global Finance. |
fischhoff8.visual.pdf | 8. Professional Workstations. Visual Analytics. Virtual Environments |
fischhoff9.survey.pdf | 9. Survey Research Methods. Restarting Donald Campbell's Research Program. |
fischhoff10.realpolitiktolobbying.pdf | . |
fischhoff11.youthcohort.pdf | 11. Youth Cohort Analysis. |
fischhoff12.searsgergen.pdf | 12. Cross-cultural Political Psychology: Corrections & Warnings via Sears and Gergen. |
fischhoff13.thinklong.pdf | 13. Think Long . . . . Better Intelligence about Created Realities. Paul Kennedy & Pivotal States. |
fischhoff14.onepercent.pdf | 14. 1% of $75 Billion/Year = ?; R&D Systems. |
fischhoff15.contentanalysis.pdf | 15 Restarting Content Analysis. Forecasting Political Violence/Instability as an Effect of Global Economic Hardship. |
fischhoff16.drugs.pdf | 16. Testing Recommendations: The War on Drugs. |
fischhoff17.economicforecasting.pdf | . Forecasting a Global Financial System with Asymmetries of Brainpower and Money. |
fischhoff18.mcnamara.pdf | Challenge |
mcnamara.pdf | Symposium: McNamara's Lessons and The Fog of War |
fischhoff19.yergin.pdf | 19. Selecting Narratives: Yergin's N=11 Economic Crisis Narratives List & the DNI's Yottabyte [10 to the 24th power] Database. |
10202009.yergin.11narratives.pdf | Yergin's Op Ed piece. |
11092009.bamfordnsa.pdf | Bamford's review. |
fischhoff20.compassion.pdf | 20. Increasing Compassion. |
fischhoff21.recapitalizing.pdf | 21. Recapitalizing Academic Social Science. |
fischhoff22.blowbacks.pdf | 22. Forecasting Blowbacks: The Evolution of Global Surveillance Systems. |
fischhoff23.coercivediplomacy.pdf | 23. Strengthening Coercive Diplomacy: Alexander George's Legacy and Rapid Learning. |
fischhoff24.twofootnotes.pdf | 24. Two Footnotes: The 109-Circle War Strategy; President Clinton's Unmet Need. |
fischhoff25.calibratingblair.pdf | 25. Admiral Blair's "For the first time, we have a good understanding . . . " claim; Calibration methods. |
fischhoff26.numerators.pdf | 26. $75 billion per year/ number of al-Qaeda members = ?. |
fischhoff27.open.pdf | ? An Open, Science-Based, Future for National Intelligence? President Ford's Surprise. |
fischhoff28.perrow.pdf | 28. The Social Science of Post-Mortems. Colin Powell's Surprise. How a National Academy Report Might Be Dangerously Wrong. |
fischhoff29.civilliberties.pdf | 29. Civic Guarantees: Strong, embedded barriers. |
fischhoff30.redundancy.pdf | 30. Natural Declines in High-Performance Systems; The Rationality of Redundancy & Global Knowledge Management. |
fischhoff31.nuclear.pdf | 31. Nuclear Security: Computing N's for Black-market and Sting Operations. |
fischhoff32.basketball.pdf | ; Online Knowledge Management/Collaboration Systems to Support President Obama. |
fischhoff33.iran.pdf | 33. Iran: The Scientific Audit of Forecasting Models. |
fischhoff34.mistrust.pdf | 34. On (Sometimes) Not Trusting Academic Science. |
fischhoff35.global2025.pdf | : New Data, Analysis, and Recapitalization Priorities. |
fischhoff36.nuclear.pdf | 36. Grand Strategy: The Elimination of Nuclear Weapons. Data, analysis, maximum velocity. |
fischhoff37.smarter.pdf | 37. 1.) Anticipating Smarter Opponents; 2.) DNI Capabilities v. Hiding in Mountains (Osama bin Laden, Joaquin Guzman). |
fischhoff38.risk.pdf | 38. Talking Back to the DNI: Portfolio Management Imperatives. |
fischhoff39.power.pdf | 39. A Fresh Analysis of Power. |
fischhoff40.experiments.pdf | 40. Fresh Thinking: Experiments to Reduce Terrorism and UDC Violence. |
fischhoff41.environmentpowerexperiment.pdf | 41. The DNI and a Global Power Experiment. |
fischhoff42.mueller.pdf | 42. Independent Re-Checks of "Threat Industry" (Mueller) Analysis; Scientific Methods to Calibrate Vivid Imaginations. The Cas... |
fischhoff43.onelaptop.pdf | 43. The Experimental Methods chapter: World Politics, One Laptop per Child, Afghanistan. |
fischhoff44.jervis.pdf | 44. Testing the Jervis Hypotheses and Beyond. |
fischhoff45.afghanistan.pdf | 45. The Afghanistan chapter & the credibility of social/behavioral science. |
fischhoff46.friedman.pdf | 46. The Anti-Americanism chapter; the DNI v. Tom Friedman; Anatol Rapoport. |
fischhoff47.complexsystems.pdf | 47. The Complex, Adaptive Systems chapter; Failure cascades and the global financial system. |
fischhoff48.peaceprocess.pdf | 48. The Peace Process chapter and the National Academy's advice. |
fischhoff49.relationships.pdf | 49. Relationship-Building: Measures needed. |
fischhoff50.neuroscience.pdf | 50. Neuroscience, the DNI, Fast Discovery R&D for Foreign Language Competence. |
fischhoff51.humanrights.pdf | 51. Grand Strategy: Human Rights. Data, analysis, maximum velocity. |
fischhoff52.taliban.pdf | 52. The Personality and Politics chapter: Who leads the Taliban? |
fischhoff53.ombudsman.pdf | 53. A National Intelligence Ombudsman. |
fischhoff54.cooper.pdf | authors. |
fischhoff55.ews.pdf | 55. The Early Warning Systems chapter: Lacunae? |
fischhoff56.upgradedata.pdf | 56. The Upgrading Public Databases chapter; Improving the yield of social science research. |
fischhoff57.numbers.pdf | v. the DNI; . |
fischhoff58.irrational.pdf | 58. The Analysis & Forecasting: Non-Rational Behavior chapter. |
fischhoff59.premature.pdf | 59. The Premature Conclusions chapter. |
fischhoff60.rational.pdf | 60. A Rational Plan: $75 billion/year and sorting-out R&D responsibilities for the social/behavioral sciences. |
fischhoff61.sorosdrugs.pdf | 61. The War on Drugs: Upgrading data and analysis. George Shultz and George Soros. |
fischhoff62.rarer.pdf | 62. Rarer Events and New DNI/NIC Forecasting Methods: Obama, 9/11, and the global financial crisis. |
fischhoff63.simulations.pdf | 63. The Simulations chapter: The fourteen lessons of Dr. Petraeus. |
fischhoff64.accountability.pdf | 64. The Accountability chapter: Integrity designs for bad weather; Cheney, Gonzalez, Nixon. |
fischhoff65.pentagonpapers.pdf | 65. Request: The Pentagon Papers of the Bush Administration? |
fischhoff66.swensen.pdf | 66. Weakening Print Journalism: A special forecast and DNI analysis of Swensen and Schmidt. |
fischhoff67.socialcapital.pdf | chapter: Recommending a special DNI/NIC analysis. |
fischhoff68.justice.pdf | 68. Justice: The Bending History in the Direction of Justice chapter; Fwd: President Obama's Nobel Prize address. |
fischhoff69.secrecy.pdf | 69. The Secrecy and Culture of Secrecy chapter. Connecting Moynihan, Ellsberg, Richard Herrmann, Loch Johnson, and Wegner. |
fischhoff70.scenarios.pdf | 70. The Scenario Methods chapter: Intelligence, creativity, wisdom. |
fischhoff71.frankenstein.pdf | 71. Deterring Frankenstein's Monster: Images, metaphors, and Paul Samuelson. |
fischhoff72.archimedes.pdf | 72. Data-Intensive Discovery for US Leadership: Global health + Archimedes methodology. |
fischhoff73.trilateral.pdf | 73. Quiet Power: Constructive influence & the Trilateral Commission's lists: www.trilateral.org |
fischhoff74.copenhagen.pdf | 74. Copenhagen Lessons; Finding Jason Bourne; Visiting Admiral Blair's Command Centers. |
fischhoff75.mexico.pdf | 75. Two Tests: Admiral Blair's system v. professional journalists; Mirror neuron activation and empathy. |
fischhoff76.gasoline.pdf | 76. New Explanations: Why was gasoline $4/gallon? |
fischhoff77.smartpower.pdf | 77. A Smart Power chapter: Beyond super-automated global watchlists. |
fischhoff78.failedstates.pdf | 78. The Nation-Building/Failed States chapter; Somalia and other return engagements. |
fischhoff79.deeperwarnings.pdf | 79. Deepening the Warnings: Government data and business/economic journalism v. social science. |
67ways.pdf | . |
fischhoff80.communicationflows.pdf | 80. US Government-to-World Communication Flows: Emerging properties of complex adaptive systems? |
fischhoff81.sorkin.pdf | , and repetition. |
fischhoff82.culturalchange.pdf | chapter. |
fischhoff83.rapidlearning.pdf | 83. Rapid Learning: A new high-priority declassification rule. |
fischhoff84.reagan.pdf | 84. The Nature of Intelligence chapter. Who was smarter - Reagan or Kissinger - about Cold War politics? Discuss, using theori... |
fischhoff85.emotionalconsensus.pdf | 85. The Emotional Consensus chapter; Lasswell + Victor Hugo. |
fischhoff86.postdetroit.pdf | 86. The Human Performance chapter; post-Detroit lessons. |
fischhoff87.conventionalarms.pdf | 87. Grand Strategy: A special NIC study re US leadership for conventional arms control, limiting military budgets. |
fischhoff88.russia.pdf | 88, The Russian Relationship chapter: Prototyping NIC special studies. |
fischhoff89.potential.pdf | 89. World Human Potential. |
fischhoff90.revenge.pdf | 90. Revenge Cultures and US/Civilized Behavior. |
fischhoff91.suicide.pdf | 91. The Suicide Bombing chapter: Changing an emotional consensus. |
fischhoff92.metarules.pdf | 92. Better Forecasts: Meta-Rules for uncertain futures and three other suggestions. |
fischhoff93.contentanalysis2.pdf | 93. A Perfect & Exciting Example of DNI Data-sharing; From the physical environment to content analysis. |
fischhoff94.auditing.pdf | 94, The Auditing Computer Systems chapter. |
fischhoff95.memory.pdf | 95. The Institutional Memory Chapter: Four aspects of an unsolved problem, here and abroad. |
fischhoff96.boldness.pdf | 96. The Merit of Scientific Boldness; Fwd: Walter Pincus. |
fischhoff97.globalwealth.pdf | 97. The Global Wealth: Better analysis of money and politics chapter. |
fischhoff98.fieldobservations.pdf | 98. Wartime Scientific Advice - 1. National Academy field observations and Fwd: Karen DeYoung. |
fischhoff99.yemen.pdf | 99. Wartime Scientific Advice - 2. Connecting dots - Yemen is another youth-bulge/high unemployment UDC. |
fischhoff100.combinatorial.pdf | 100. The Combinatorial Thinking + Grand Strategy = Change the World chapter. |
waas.dyson.pdf | An Experiment to Accelerate Scientific Progress. |
fischhoff101.listening.pdf | 101. The Getting Governments to Listen chapter; Fwd: Graham & Talent on bioterrorism & political behavior. |
fischhoff102.comparative.pdf | 102. The Comparative Government Performance chapter: Would the underwear and shoe bombers have been boarded on El-Al? |
fischhoff103.incentives.pdf | 103. The Incentive Systems chapter. Meta-solutions and rapid-learning systems for data and analysis. |
fischhoff104.psywar.pdf | 104. The Psychological Warfare chapter: Theirs and the US response; integrating Keohane. |
fischhoff105.krugman.pdf | 105. The Global Financial Sector chapter: Krugman's leading-edge concerns. |
fischhoff106.zbb.pdf | 106. People, Databases, and Federal Budgets: Three suggestions. |
fischhoff107.rebalancing.pdf | 107. Rational Rebalancing Options. Fwd: Friedman on jihadist death cults with exploding underpants; NIC: background and vision... |
fischhoff108.rapidhealth.pdf | 108. Progress: Global rapid learning networks for international health. |
fischhoff109.rapidlearning.pdf | 109. The Rapid Learning Systems chapter. |
fischhoff110.afraidofgovernments.pdf | 110. The "Who's Afraid of Governments?" challenge. |
fischhoff111.effectiveness.pdf | 111. The Measures of Effectiveness chapter: Fwd: PNSR Report. |
pnsr2010.pdf | Project on National Security Reform |
fischhoff112.rosling.pdf | 112. New visual analytics/display capabilities for global data: NIH presentation by Hans Rosling. |
fischhoff113.hierarchicalpsychodrama.pdf | 113. Hierarchical Psychodrama Models and Regime Collapse; Fwd: PCAST Recommendations for neurosciences and rapid learning. |
02282010.anesboard.pdf | benefits of applying neuroscience/hierarchical psychodrama models to issues in American voting. |
fischhoff114.ignatius.pdf | 114. Testing Theories of Paul Kennedy, Joseph Nye, and Niall Ferguson: The National Academy of Sciences and Complex, Adaptive S... |
fischhoff115.teapartyterrorism.pdf | 115. Neuropsychology and the new Tea Party Terrorism. |
fischhoff116.google.pdf | on Google's translation achievements; 2.) Faster national learning rates in world politics. |
fischhoff117.immigration.pdf | 117. Better Anti-Terrorist Effectiveness Measures: Illegal Immigration (N=12 million) as a Surrogate Test. |
fischhoff118.andrewlo.pdf | 118. Admiral Dennis Blair is on his own. Andrew Lo's advice. Continuing stagnation of academic social science & the Republican... |
fischhoff119.untestedfinancialtimes.pdf | "Concern is Mounting . . ." article, 3/10/2010. |
fischhoff120.milgram.pdf | . |
fischhoff121.newterrorism.pdf | 121. A Hierarchical Psychodrama Theory of Terrorism: The Neuroscience Paradigm and the Michigan Militia Case. |
03112010.brady.apsa.pdf | Letter to Henry Brady, APSA President |
fischhoff122.recalibrate.pdf | 122. Recalibrating Theories and Imagination; accelerating science and American foreign policy. |
fischhoff123.pentagonpapers.pdf | 123. Pentagon Papers Research Programs: Afghanistan, Iran, Iraq (2). A Strong National Academy of Sciences Recommendation. |
fischhoff124.publicopinionafghanistan.pdf | 124. Public Opinion Polls: An Urgent, Fast Audit for the Behavioral Science/Human Terrain System in Afghanistan. |
fischhoff125.vietnamtoafghanistan.pdf | 125. Behavioral Science from Vietnam to Afghanistan: Methods, Theories, Policies. |
fischhoff126.afghanistanpowerpoint.pdf | 126. The US Afghanistan Model (2010): Theory, data, graphics and analysis from the perspective of behavioral science. |
afghanistan.hirespowerpoint.pdf | High Resolution Powerpoint |
fischhoff127.urgentneed.pdf | 127. The Urgent Need to Apply Behavioral Science to International Security: New Evidence + 2 Examples. |
fischhoff128.ninescenarios.pdf | 128. Fwd: "Nine Scenarios for Imminent Apocalypse"; Implications. |
fischhoff129.dow.pdf | 129. Update: "Dow Falls 1,000 - Experts Still Baffled." Implications. |
fischhoff130.newsweek.pdf | to be Sold. Declining Journalism and (Lagging) Democratic Adaptations. Implications. |
fischhoff131.uk.pdf | 131. Update: British Government Falls. Growing Political Instability as an Effect of Global Economic Hardship. Implications. |
fischhoff132.newclarke.pdf | 132. Richard Clarke's New Alarm: Cyber War/Cybersecurity; the North Korea chapter. |
fischhoff134.northkorea.pdf | 134. The North Korea Chapter: Fwd: "Five Possible Ways to War" by David Sanger and the G-20 system. |
fischhoff135.newrequirements.pdf | 135. Functional requirements of the new Group of 20 global system. |
fischhoff136.reinventionnewnsf.pdf | 136. Recapitalizing social science: Subra Suresh as the new NSF Director. |
fischhoff137.washingtonpostseries.pdf | series: The Relevance of Behavioral Science. |
fischhoff138.powers.pdf | 138. The Political Influence Chapter: Jervis v. Powers and the National Academy of Sciences Report. |
fischhoff139.reinventingstatistics.pdf | 139. Reinventing Statistics and Econometrics: A Powerful Idea? Friedman on "Really Unusually Uncertain . . ." Faster Learning v... |
fischhoff140.homelandsecurity.pdf | 140. Homeland Security and Databases: Cross- Border Challenges and Testbeds. |
fischhoff141.realitycreation.pdf | 141. Testing New Reality-Creation Theories of World Politics. |
fischhoff142.interpretingafghanistan.bueno.pdf | 142. Interpreting Data: Bueno de Mesquita's Methods, Behavioral Science, and More Successful Afghanistan Policies |
fischhoff143.wolframone.dallas.pdf | DALLAS. |
fischhoff144.wolframtwo.dashboard.pdf | 144. Wolfram Conference - 2. The New UN 32-foot x 8-foot Earth Dashboard Visual Display System. |
fischhoff145.afghanistanlessons.pdf | 145. The National Academy's Afghanistan Chapter: 9 Years of Data, Theories, Forecasts, Lessons. |
fischhoff146.environmentpluspolitical.pakistanfloods.pdf | 146. Moving Forward: Linking Environmental and Political Data. Pakistan Flooding and Fwd: Solomon, "Drowning Today, Parched T... |
fischhoff147.globalhealth+yaffa.pdf | 147. Global Health and DNI's Political Opportunity Analysis |
fischhoff148.dataarchitectures.pdf | 148. Wolfram 3: Data Architectures for Rapid Learning Systems. |
fischhoff149.nsfcomparativepolitics.pdf | 149. DNI Assistance: NSF Political Science, NIMH, and Other Implications. |
fischhoff150.misperceptionanalysis.pdf | 150. Misperception Analysis as a Component of DNI Briefings? Hoffman's Evidence re President Reagan and the End of the Cold Wa... |
fischhoff151.blair.pdf | An Experiment. |
fischhoff152.moreintelligent.pdf | 152. The Need to Be More Intelligent . . . : MI-5 (UK) Forecasts. Implications. |
fischhoff153.needs.pdf | The DNI and Fast Discovery R&D; NSF, DARPA/IARPA, and Other Models. |
fischhoff154.cloud.pdf | 154. Priority Requests: Cloud Computing for Behavioral Science R&D; Federal Curated Data Systems via DALLAS, Daniel Goroff at ... |
fischhoff155.challengepetraeus.pdf | ;" Bob Woodward's New Book. |
fischhoff156.newera.pdf | 156. A New Era: Wars Fought on the Basis of Assumptions of Behavioral Science . . . Beyond Beltway Bandits and Proprietary Dat... |
fischhoff157.pillarstheory.pdf | 157. Pillar's Theory: Is the Militarized GWOT Running Out of Time? Updating Katzenstein/Keohane with a Multi-Method, Multi-Stu... |
fischhoff158.highrates.pdf | 158. High Rates of Unexpected Events? Reinventing Statistics: World Politics + Acceleration. Can the DNI be as Successful as a... |
fischhoff159.poolmcluhan.pdf | . |
fischhoff160.wolfram4bbc.pdf | 160. Wolfram 4: The BBC's Leading Edge Ontology/Indexing System - World Soccer & the London Olympics. |
fischhoff161.deterrence.pdf | 161. Why is Deterrence Not Working? Evaluating GWOT Strategies. |
fischhoff162.wolfram5gcas.pdf | ). |
fischhoff163.discussion.pdf | 163. Rapid Response Discussions/Evaluation of the Fischhoff Report; Budget Cycles. |
fischhoff164.wolfram6.alfred.pdf | ; A Better Future for Economists and National Academy Recommendations. Notes from ALFRED. |
fischhoff165.postwoodward.pdf | 165. Post-Woodward Analysis: Afghanistan, the Obama Administration, and Behavioral Science? Applying President Reagan's Hypoth... |
fischhoff166.fairygodmother.pdf | 166. Beyond the usual Fairy Godmother List of solutions? Fwd: Kaiser on Leebaert. |
fischhoff167.r+d.pdf | 167. Improving R&D Recommendations: Suggestions from former National Security advisers and others with academic/social science... |
fischhoff168.kosovo.pdf | 168. Kosovo and Other Cases - Successes and Lessons? Third Party Diplomacy for Intelligence, Prevention, and Follow-Through? |
fischhoff169.g20public.pdf | 169. Forecasting and Intelligence: An Urgent Case for G-20 (Systemic) Capability? |
fischhoff170.samplingrates.pdf | ? |
fischhoff171.foreheadsmacking.pdf | 171. Woodward on Dr. Petraeus's "forehead-smacking moment." |
fischhoff172.accelerationg20.pdf | in an Accelerating World? Information Overload Issues. |
fischhoff173.enlightenment.pdf | 173. DNI Databases and Two Theories of Truth: The Correctness/Analytic Theory v. the Unconcealment/Enlightenment Theory. Impli... |
fischhoff174.expandingeconomics.pdf | 174. The Expanding Economics Chapter: Moving Faster Than the Academic World. |
fischhoff175.gatheringstorm.pdf | 175. Forecasting Global Competition: DNI Upgrades and US Policies. Another (Alleged) Gathering Storm (Category 5). |
fischhoff176.comparativepolitics.pdf | 176. Recommendations: Advisory Panel on Comparative Politics and Public Data. |
fischhoff177.publicdiplomacy.pdf | 177. The Evaluating US Public Diplomacy Chapter: Wider Problems; http://publicdiplomacy.wikia.com (wikia with an "a"). |
fischhoff178.wargameeconomics.pdf | 178. Upgrading Economic Models: War-Gaming Global Finance Counter-Moves by Smart Opponents. Building Momentum for the Fischhof... |
fischhoff179.rl+it.pdf | The Obama Administration's Global Cancer (Rapid Learning + IT) Initiative. |
fischhoff180.cloudpost.pdf | 180. New Cloud Computing/Rapid Learning Applications for Scholars and Analysts: Comparative Post-Victory Forecasts/Planning: W... |
fischhoff181.rebalancing80billion.pdf | 181. Rebalancing the $80.1 Billion/Year: Endowing Behavioral Science and National Intelligence Capabilities. Recapitalizing an... |
fischhoff182.ladyluck.pdf | 182. Blowing a Sufficiently Loud Whistle: Failures of President Obama's Appointees to Connect the Dots. Fwd: Friedman, "Long L... |
fischhoff183.bananarepublic.pdf | 183. Update: New Data re Asymmetrical Wealth. Implications for Global Forecasting and Economic Models; Fwd: Kristof on Banana ... |
fischhoff184.wikileaksplaying.pdf | 184. WikiLeaks Interpretations: Are Islamic Politicians "Playing" the US Government? |
fischhoff185.dallekkorea.pdf | 185. Update: Dallek's New Analysis and Lessons re System-Level Intelligence. |
fischhoff186.redteamislamicpoliticians.pdf | 186. Urgent "Red Team" Projects: 1. Implications of "Are Islamic Politicians 'Playing' the US Government?" |
fischhoff187.jervisred.pdf | ? |
fischhoff188.redecon.pdf | . |
fischhoff189.ukshah.pdf | 189. Fwd: Declassified British Report - The Failure to Predict the Fall of the Shah. |
fischhoff190.visual.pdf | 190. The USGOV Visual Display/Dashboard 1.0 Launch: http://www.foreignassistance.gov/InitiativeLanding.aspx |
fischhoff191.weakoffense.pdf | 191. Red Team Analysis: A Weak, Underdeveloped, Offense Strategy in the War on Terror. Testing Strategies from Competitive Ele... |
fischhoff192.wikileaks.pdf | 192. Red Team Projects: Can WikiLeaks be Used to Stabilize Global Financial Markets? A New Dimension for the National Academy ... |
fischhoff193.brooksrosen.pdf | 193. Red Team: The Rosen-Brooks Hypothesis: Does the U. S. Misinterpret Corruption in Afghanistan? |
fischhoff194.defiespredictable.pdf | 194. Red Team: Is a Better Future [That Defies the Predictable] Possible Quickly? |
2010.1209.kentkaiser.pdf | "A Cultural Affairs Cooperative and Website" and Letter to Michael Kaiser et al. |
2010.1227.huangaaas.pdf | a free global science service to accelerate energy research and for other breakthrough needs outlined for Dr. Huang; |
2010.1130.mchaleslaughter.pdf | information needs and opportunities to bring the G-20 system, as envisioned by Secretary Clinton, online. |
fischhoff195.newepoch.pdf | 195. Red Team: Opportunity Costs and National Security in a Changing Historical Epoch; Global Enrollment Theories. The New Wor... |
fischhoff196.dallek.pdf | 196. Scientific Advice - a Red Team Meta-Analysis: Dallek's "Three Myths" Theory of 20th Century US Foreign Policy Mistakes |
fischhoff197.afghanbreakthrough.pdf | 197. A Red Team Field Experiment: Rapid Learning and the Possibility of an Afghanistan Breakthrough in Two Years. |
fischhoff198.brecke.pdf | 198. Red Team: Human Relationships - Applying Long & Brecke to Iraq and Afghanistan? Constitutive Processes (Lasswell) in Diff... |
fischhoff199.summers.pdf | "? An agenda that I beg you to move forward. |
fischhoff200.vividness.pdf | 200. Red Team: Vividness: Is the Middle East Peace Process Too Rational? |
fischhoff201.anthropology.pdf | 201. Followup: "Afghans Look at Americans like Americans are from Mars." Advice from National Academy of Science Members? |
CEAUSSIC_HTS_Final_Report.pdf | AAA Commission on the Engagement of Anthropology with the US Security and Intelligence Community (CEAUSSIC), Final Report on t... |
afghandrugwar.pdf | 202. Red Team: Fwd: "As Opium Prices Soar. . . "Is the Afghan War now partly a Mexican drug war? Implications for Better Strat... |
fischhoff203.economistdata.pdf | re the new , outsmartable data systems; the CIA's Office of Political Psychology & profiling hedge fund managers. |
fischhoff204.tripleinterpretation.pdf | 204. A Triple Interpretation Method for Foreign Policy Breakdowns? Fwd: Ricks on Bergen on 9/11 Re-Analysis. |
fischhoff205.youthcultures.pdf | 205. Red Team: Do National Security Planners Understand the World's Youth Cultures? A (Proposed) New Realpolitik |
fischhoff206.oiloligopoly.pdf | 206. An Urgent Red Team: Oil Oligopoly Effects on Prices, G-20 Recovery, Exploration, Politics. Fresh Thinking = ? |
fischhoff207.dailyshow.pdf | . Fwd: Parazit and "VOA program enthralls Iranians, irks their government." |
fischhoff208.itupgrade.pdf | 208. Red Team: Bolder IT Upgrades for US Grand Strategy + Rational Management? |
fischhoff209.jervisbureaucracy.pdf | 209. Red Team: Jervis-theory Distortions in the Causal Maps for President Obama? |
fischhoff210.sentinel.pdf | (1/12/2011), "Developing the Sentinel System . . . " |
fischhoff211.invisibility.pdf | 211. Red Team: Rethinking Invisibility - The Obama Administration's Human Rights Strategy and Faster Progress. |
fischhoff212.domino.pdf | 212. Red Team: Calibrating the Domino Theory & the "Reverse" Domino Theory. Scheuer's Prediction; 21st century Media Effects. |
fischhoff213.imaginationland.pdf | The "Living in Imaginationland" Education Strategy. |
fischhoff214.competitiveness.pdf | 214. Red Team: Challenging + Upgrading Grand Strategy for US Competitiveness: Data Systems, War Room Displays, Better Theories. |
fischhoff215.brookslasswell.pdf | " |
fischhoff216.spies.pdf | 216. Red Team (KGB Archives): Are there Russian spies that we did not catch? And why not? |
fischhoff217.egypt.pdf | 217. Tunisia + Egypt + ? : Intelligence Failure or Brilliant Success? |
fischhoff218.eliminatewar.pdf | 218. Red Team: Maximum Velocity Elimination of War |
fischhoff219.eliminatenuclear.pdf | 219. Red Team: Maximum Velocity Elimination of Nuclear Weapons |
fischhoff220.apsia.pdf | 220. Red Team: G-20 Strategy & Needs-Blind Foreign Admissions to APSIA Graduate Programs |
fischhoff221.clapper.pdf | 221. Red Team: General Clapper v. Henry Kissinger v. David Brooks v. standards of behavioral scientists. |
fischhoff222.foodprices.pdf | . |
fischhoff223.renminbi.pdf | 223. Red Team: Friedman on Mideast instability and cautions re US pressure for Chinese currency devaluation. |
fischhoff224.google.pdf | 224. Notes on Egypt, Google, Secretary Clinton's support for new ideas, and Henry Kissinger's question. |
fischhoff225.nowriteoff.pdf | 225. Red Team: Challenging resignation and the write-off of the youth generation in UDCs; TED-IR? A Post-Egypt Spirit - |
fischhoff226.blowingthewhistle.pdf | (2011). |
fischhoff227.sugar.pdf | 227. Red Team: a 20% drop in world sugar future prices in two days? Hedge funds and alpha-predator computer programs. |
fischhoff228.rebalancingscience.pdf | (2/11/2011) |
fischhoff229.postmubarak.pdf | 229. Red Team: Post-Mubarak - Rapid Deployment Data Systems |
fischhoff230.communityorganizer.pdf | Egypt and Data Implications. |
fischhoff231.postegyptmodels.pdf | 231. Red Team - Post Egypt: Deploying Hierarchical Psychodrama Models. A Theory of Non-Violent Liberationist Revolution |
fischhoff232.watson.pdf | 232. Red Team: Watson, "Jeopardy" and China |
fischhoff233.stability.pdf | 233. Red Team: "Stability has Left the Building." Catching up with the President's secret 8/2010 directive; Neuroscience and D... |
fischhoff234.appiah.pdf | 234. Red Team: Appiah and the Theory of Moral Upgrades |
fischhoff235.onlinedata.pdf | ; Emerging Islamic Democracy |
fischhoff236.teachable.pdf | ." |
fischhoff237.philanthropy.pdf | 237. Red Team: Philanthropy & Cognitive Maps for the Islamic World |
fischhoff238.listen.pdf | A teachable moment? |
fischhoff239.postdrama.pdf | 239. Red Team: The 'Who Listens to American Leaders?" Inquiry - Three Possible Policy Lessons |
fischhoff240.confusion.pdf | 240. Red Team: NSF/NSB Confusion and Partnership Issues |
fischhoff241.egyptscheuer.pdf | 241. Red Team: Egypt, Rapid Deployment, NSF & Others |
fischhoff242.nsfupgrade.pdf | 242. Red Team: New Measurements & Better NSF Performance |
fischhoff243.friedmanplus.pdf | 243. Red Team: Friedman's new hypotheses (Islamic youth) and rapid deployment political psychology. |
fischhoff244.scheuernew.pdf | 244. Red Team: The Middle East - from impasse to the basketball court. US data systems and Scheuer's new hypotheses |
fischhoff245.brooks.pdf | 245. Red Team: Brooks's New Meta-Analysis of Neuroscience, Policy Failure, and Humanism |
fischhoff246.suresh.pdf | 246. Red Team: Recapitalizing Social Science and Upgrading NSF Merit Review/Performance Measures by 3/31/2011 |
fischhoff247.west.pdf | 247. Red Team: An Intelligence Disclosure & New Estimates for Afghanistan Counter-Insurgency Equations; Testing F. J. West's E... |
fischhoff248.aegis.pdf | Implications |
fischhoff249.onebillion.pdf | 249. Red Team: An Urgent Economics Question that Only the DNI's System Can Answer: "One Billion Threatened by Hunger," Recommen... |
fischhoff250.strangle.pdf | 250. Red Team: The Republican "Strangle in the Cradle" Strategy and its Inherited Legacy |
fischhoff251.nsfunwritten.pdf | 251. Red Team: DNI Responsibilities v. NSF's Unwritten Rules and Merit Review Integrity Breakdowns |
fischhoff252.pakistan.pdf | 252. Red Team: The Pakistan War: Expected Value [Danger] v. Hollywood Danger. Riedel and a Scientific Upgrade for World Politi... |
fischhoff253.bribery.pdf | 253. Red Team: The new Libyan War: a Cost/Benefit Analysis of Bribery, and Dr. Petraeus's Lesson |
fischhoff254.learningaudit.pdf | 254. Red Team: Auditing Academic Capabilities for Behavioral Science + International Security [R&D + Education] here and abroad... |
fischhoff255.newattack.pdf | 255. Red Team: The Next Attack on Governments - Auditing CIA's Forecasting Model for International Finance Actors |
fischhoff256.virtualpakistan.pdf | 256. Red Team: The Virtual Pakistan Project |
fischhoff257.reversing.pdf | 257. Red Team: Reversing the Process - DNI Suggestions to Academic Social Science |
fischhoff258.foreignadvice.pdf | 258. Foreign Intelligence Services: Advice, Disgreements, and Lessons |
fischhoff259.careers.pdf | 259. Planning Career Pathways & Funding DNI-Academic Links |
fischhoff260.kissinger.pdf | 260. The Kissinger & Associates Model - New Methods to Obtain Insider Information Abroad |
fischhoff261.smarter.pdf | 261. Red Team: America v. Smarter, Adaptive Opponents. Fwd: "Drug Wars Push Deeper into Central America" |
fischhoff262.getaxes.pdf | 262. Red Team: Update - Outsmarting Governments in World Politics |
fischhoff263.gawande.pdf | 263. Red Team: Methods That Can Identify U.S. Misperceptions Quickly: Applying Gawande to Libya |
fischhoff266.emergentsystems.pdf | 266. Red Team Followup: Detecting Emergent Systems; Fwd: Brooks on Emergent Systems. Congratulations! |
fischhoff268.systemicintelligence.pdf | 268. Red Team Followup: From National Intelligence to Systemic Intelligence: Fwd: Pickering and Brahimi. |
fischhoff269.taliban.pdf | 269. Red Team Followup: Challenging Models of Taliban Negotiations |
fischhoff270.kissingernonlearning.pdf | 270. Red Team Update: Kissinger on Four Wars with Non-Learning and a Missing Theory |
irtheory.806.pdf | Memorandum concerning two developments in IR theory |
gw_nsa2.306.pdf | "NSA Surveillance: Secret Truths and Historic Choices" |
gwhandout.306.pdf | Handout |
surveillance2.106.pdf | "Nine Options to Reduce Illegitimate Surveillance of the Internet" |
surveillance1.106.pdf | "The Internet Was a Technology of Freedom" |
2tests.n05.pdf | "Testing Two Propositions from Political Psychology" |
cfr.905.pdf | Council on Foreign Relations Report on American Non-Learning |
housetestimony.204.pdf | Statement for the House Appropriations Subcommittee |
compfopo.pdf | Recommendation for 12 Centers for Comparative Foreign Policy |
saddam.pdf | "Deterring Saddam Hussein: A Dangerous Fantasy" |
bcci.pdf | "BCCI: The Real Story |
mershon.pdf | "Change (and Learning) in World Politics: Case Selection and Theory Development |
rbuild.pdf | "Relationship-Building as a Basis for Security |
principled.pdf | "Lesson-Learning in International Relations Since 1500: Are Principled Dispute Settlements Superior? |
greek.pdf | "Managerial Responsibility and the World's Need: Perception and Misperception in American Foreign Policy |
rfe.pdf | "Promoting Democratic Values: The Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty Experiment |
goheen.pdf | Proposal for the Goheen Report |
ethno.pdf | "Is American Foreign Policy Ethnocentric? |
nyt0581.pdf | "The Old Imagery of War is Outdated |
montgomery.pdf | "Better Options for Montgomery County: Upgrading Cable TV Business Models |
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[Querying whois.domainpeople.com]
[whois.domainpeople.com]
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